Cross posted from Red Hot Cuppa Politics
For those who are unfamiliar with the Art of War, Sun Tsu was an ancient Chinese general, who probably wrote the definitive analyses of strategy in warfare.
Gary Gagliani is a master of Sun Tsu strategy; I like to read his WarriorClassBlog, since he analyses current events through the very interesting lense of SunTsu:
For example, Gagliani disagrees with President Bush that deportation of millions of illegals can't be done.
From WarriorClassBlog: (red highlighting mine -- FB)
Strategy requires doing a little simple arithmetic. You break big goals down into small, bite-sized goals that can be easily reach in a small amount of time given your available resources. This allows you to take the first steps on a larger campaign to see if those steps work. As time goes on, you learn to leverage your progress into larger and larger steps.
For example, I read today Bush's statement that "mass deportation" of illegal aliens was impossible. On the contrary, such a "mass deportation" program is relatively simple if you break it into small bites, and simple arithmetic tells us that, without such a program, no other solution to illegal immigration will work. Sun Tzu said that if you want people to stay away, you must threaten them with danger. If there is no danger for illegal aliens in coming or staying here, nothing else Congress does on immigration will matter.
Let us start with the logistics. Does a "mass deportation" program have to move 11 million people? Or would the simple existence of any reasonably designed program of deportation, coupled with an equally reasonable legal immigration program, convince 11 million illegals that they are better off moving out of the country on their own and then applying for legal entry?
While 11 million certainly seems like a large number–if you don't want to analyze it–there are almost a million full-time law enforcement officers in
Again, a 10-15 year program means moving out approximately 3,000 people a day. If we had ten exit processing centers on the southern border. This means each center would be responsible for moving out 300 people a day, 30 people an hour in a ten hour workday. (A typical
Since we want to give illegals an incentive to leave on their own, we would set up the deportation system to penalize deported illegals in various ways. You could make them pay an additional fine (equal to about half of what a coyote charges to bring them into the
Think of this as a quota system. If a local police department has 20 officers, their quota would be responsible for apprehending 20 illegals aliens a year to qualify for any federal funding they are currently getting. In addition, the federal government could offer a bounty of $1,000 for each illegal apprehended (a billion dollars a year funding) to the local offices. Since illegal aliens aren't distributed equally throughout the country, a quota trading system would allow one department to buy credits from another but with the apprehending department would get all the bounties.
Since all strategic moves are part of a larger system. You have to ask how a given strategy affects the behavior of everyone else in the system. This is actually what separates good strategy from stupid strategy. Without any real threat of an active deportation system, people will continue to seek illegal entry. Even given reasonable quotas in legal immigration system, there would still be every incentive to jump the line by jumping the border without such a deportation system.
However, just the implementation of a "mass deportation" system would give people an incentive to leave on their own. If illegals felt that they were actively being hunted, their lives here would be a much more difficult. Such a program would probably pay for itself because if illegal aliens knew that they were being actively hunted by everyone in law enforcement, they would avoid using most government services.
Instructive, and enlightening -- also, about half of those 12 million are supposed to pay taxes, so doesn't that mean the IRS knows where they are ... ?
While Republican Senators two-step away from their constituents, there's a case before the Supreme Court today:
The court will hear a case in which one of the nation's largest carpet manufacturers, Mohawk Industries, is accused of conspiring to hire illegal immigrants to reduce labor costs.
In a novel legal argument, current and former workers of the company are seeking to file suit against their bosses under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act, known as RICO, to prove the company illegally conspired with an outside employment agency to hire undocumented workers to keep legal workers' wages low.
The use of RICO, normally associated with organized crime and gangs, alarms the business community, because the act allows triple damages against companies in violation
Well, we'll see. Bush has managed to put a couple of terrific new Supreme Court judges on the bench.
tag: DeMediacrat tag: Coalition Against Illegal Immigration (CAII)
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